An arbitrage opportunity?
I was reading a news about IPCL planning to merge with itself 6 Reliance companies and these are Apollo Fibres, Central India Polyester, India Polyfibres, Orissa Polyfibres, Recron Synthetics and Silvassa Industries. And the swap ratios are as follows - one equity share of IPCL for every 25 shares of AFL, 23 equity shares of CIPL, 28 equity shares of IPL, 28 equity shares of OPL, 34 equity shares of RSL and 38 equity shares of SIPL. I checked in iccidirect and out of these companies, I could find only 2 listed – Central India Polyester with a CMP of 10.73 and Recron Synthetics with a CMP of 2.45.
That means, if we purchase 23 shares of CIPL at 10.43 - a purchase price of 246.79 rupees, we will get one share of IPCL with a CMP of 266 – a gain of 19.21 rupees.
Now lets look at Recron Synthetics. If we purchase 34 shares of RSL at 2.45 – a purchase of 83.3 rupees, we will get one share of IPCL with a CMP of 266 – an amazing gain of 182.7 rupees !!!. Does this really compute or have I made a mistake somewhere? I'm not sure.